Survivor!

My picks have been all wrong this season, so I am appealing to the gods of logic to hear my reasoning and let me be right, just this one time.
I think Matthew will get the boot next. He's creepy and he's a physical threat in challenges.
If not Matthew, then maybe Alex. Physical threat, ladies man.
Ah hell, I have no idea who'll get the boot.
Mike, what do you think?